Modeling the commercial electricity demand in santa catarina, using the box-jenkins methodology
The present study was carried out to make forecasts of the monthly commercial electricity demand in the state of Santa Catarina. Historical data from January 2004 to December 2019 were used, with data from the last year being considered in the model validation process. After the exploratory analysis based on descriptive measures, graphs and hypothesis tests, several other techniques were employed in the various stages of the Box-Jenkins methodology: identification, estimation, diagnosis and forecast.