Modeling of temperature and sunshine for a tunisian city
By 2030, Tunisia expects a warmer and more variable climate. This climate change will lead to increased pressure on natural resources. This requires the effective integration of the environmental dimension into management and governance. This article addresses the climate change estimate needed for climate risk management. The purpose of this estimate is to determine, using the Box-Jenkins methodology and the ARCH / GARCH models, the future behavior of the average daily temperature and daily sunshine for aTunisian city over the period 01-01- 2004 to 31-12-2014.